Tuesday November 20 2018

A few showers moved through this morning that may help the air quality, but will make the beginning of the cold air intrusion. Snow showers will prevail in western Maryland for the day. Region-wide, a legitimate winter pattern is building for Thanksgiving that will make it feel more like Christmas. If you and your family have plans for a Turkey Trot on Thanksgiving morning, you will want to dig out the winter clothing. It is going to be brutally cold and might be a shock to your system.

Over the holiday weekend we expect a warm up with rain on Saturday. The following week does continue to show the pattern shifting back to cold air and looking stormy into December. Here is the latest.

Local Weather Stats For November 20 in Baltimore

Average High:  55ºF

Record High: 79ºF in 1942

Average  Low: 56ºF

Record Low:  22ºF in 1954

                         *Record Snow:  2.1″ in 1961

Sunrise: 6:55AM

Sunset 4:48 PM 

*Daylight = 1:43 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 50ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

 

Also See: Smoke from CA Fires Reached The East Coast


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Morning Snapshot

Temperatures

 

Satellite Loop

 

Afternoon

 

Temperatures

 

Temperatures Trending Colder

Wednesday 

 

Thanksgiving Morning

These are morning temps, but the afternoon is likely to remain below freezing.

Low Temperatures

Wind Chills

 

Holiday Weekend Weather

Rain Saturday ends Sunday morning.

 

Stormy Trend:

The next storm will be Monday Nov 26, with rain, that will mark the pattern change … Watch the snow expand to our north.

 

Temperature Outlook

 

Long Range Outlook

The NAO will remain negative. While this outlook only takes us through the end of November, the trend will drop lower into the start of December.

 

 

Early December Will Be Stormy

The phasing event for early December has been a consistent showing.. But I will NOT lock in on rain or snow. The surface features are less accurate to call now. But, we can see another southern California storm that will track across the southern US to follow this one with even colder air in place.

 

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Keep In Touch Every Day

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The FITF Store Is Open With Gear And SnowStix

 

Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore

 

Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

 

Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 

 

 

 

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

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