Wednesday November 14

We are set up for our first winter event of the season. It will be a coastal storm, but the impact will be moderate at best. There are still a few prime factors to consider. First will be temperatures and where the freezing line will set up. In addition to that, The ground is still warm, plus the bulk of the event will compete with daylight. Plus, this will not be all snow. After it begins, there will be a gradual a mix of sleet and freezing rain.

Below is the breakdown of the event and updated call for your area.

Local Weather Stats For November 14 in Baltimore

Average High: 57ºF

Record High: 77ºF in 1989

Average Low: 37ºF

Record Low: 18ºF in 1986

*Record Snow: 33.2″ 1908

Sunrise: 6:48 AM

Sunset 4:52 PM

*Daylight = 1:56 shorter than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 51ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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Rainfall 2018 Total: Rank 3rd Wettest Year

This chart includes rain through Tuesday. We need less than 1″ of precipitation and should get the top spot this week.

Morning Snapshot

Satellite Loop

The plume of tropical moisture continues to flow. The origin of the next storm will flow across the same area of Florida where Michael made landfall and a few Nor’easters already tracked from *Atmospheric Memory

High Temperatures This Afternoon

Storm Highlights—> slider

The arrival of the first flakes should be near Washington around 6 AM and then spread across central Maryland between 6 and 8 AM. Southern PA (York, Lancaster) may get it between 8 and 10 AM.

There may be a brief period of ending as snow Friday morning in the same colder spots.

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Temperatures—> slider

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Storm Animation (slowed down to view better)

My Call For Snowfall (and other stuff)

There will be more snow on the grass than pavement. Not all roads will respond the same. The best chance for stickage will be Thursday morning and in shaded areas or north sides of hills.

A	5″+ Snow	Mostly Snow. Travel advisories should to be issued. Highest totals on the elevations over 2,000 Ft.
B	3″ + Snow And Icy Mix	Roads may get slick in the morning to noon. Slow thaw afternoon and evening. Travel advisories likely to be issued. May end as snow Friday morning.
C	1″-2″+ Snow And Some Ice	Roads may have tried need for salting early. Travel advisories ‘may’ to be issued.
D	Starts As Snow/Sleet. Coating To 1″ Quick Change To Rain	Some coating on car tops, landscaping. Roads should stay wet.
E	May be brief start as sleet. Then Rain	Temperatures are too warm for wintry weather.

Total Precipitation

BWI needs 0.98″ of rain to tie the record for wettest year. This total of 1.5″ will be more than enough to get the top spot. Note: There are still 6 weeks left in the year to add to the total.