Thursday September 6 2018
There are three main things to highlight this morning. Today will be the last Heat Advisory for our region in this stretch. The weekend will be much cooler with afternoon temperatures in the 60s to lower 70s along with some rain. Then we shift our focus to tracking Hurricane Florence across the Atlantic. I do not think we will have a landfall in the Mid Atlantic, but it is worth watching for coastline concerns.
There is a lot of info, but I have shortened the chatter to get to the important stuff here:
Local Weather Stats For September 6 in Baltimore
Average High: 81ºF
Record High: 98ºF in 1983
Average Low: 61ºF
Record Low: 46ºF in 1962
Sunrise: 6:39 AM
Sunset 7:29 PM
*Daylight = 2:30 shorter than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 84ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House * This is the warmest the water has been all year!
Also see: Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs
Morning Snapshot
Cooler air is on the way with the next front…
Pattern Change brings lots of rain through next week
That front may spark some showers, mainly in the mountains by evening
But, we have one last day of heat
Heat Advisory
Afternoon
Saturday Temperatures
It will feel chilly over the weekend. If we get into the northeast wind AND some rain, we could drop into the 60s during the day
Rainfall Potential
The NAM Model shows rain building from the north in the morning to afternoon. The GFS has a different solution below…
GFS Model Animation
This model has more rain Saturday morning, clearing by evening… But more rain returning for Sunday.
Temperature Outlook
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Hurricane Florence
LOCATION...24.1N 47.9W ABOUT 1060 MI...1705 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1170 MI...1885 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
Hurricane Florence Forecast Tracks
There is definitely a climatological curve away from the US in the latest run. There are still many factors that can direct the track of Florence. The progress of the stalled front this weekend and early next week is one of them and we don’t have a firm grip on that yet.
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