Saturday March 10 2018

8:30 AM

We definitely have a winter pattern in place and the amplitude of the jet stream is impressive. But I did not want to jump on the storm bandwagon and now it appears the strong jet stream will suppress the coastal event too far away. However, the net result will be colder air for us for a few days. So the first few days of daylight Saving Time may not allow us to appreciate the later daylight. Then a taste of the high amplitude ridge will reach us next weekend. The old adage of balance of average will show just in terms of temperatures. While we may be 10 to 15 degrees below average to start the weekend, we could be 10 to 15 degrees above average next weekend.

Stats For March 10

*Turn clocks forward 1 hour tonight/Change batteries in smoke detectors. I will have more info on Daylight Saving Time history in my next update

Average High: 52ºF

Record High: 80ºF in 2016

Average Low: 32ºF

Record Low: 11ºF in 1996

Snow Record: 8.0″ in 1892

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 10.5″

Sunrise: 6:25 AM

Sunset 6:08 PM

*Daylight = 2:34 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 41ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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This Morning

Chilly but sunny

This Afternoon

Remaining cool but more sun than yesterday.

Outlook

The storm I said was not worth getting excited over has more evidence now of staying south. The coastal storm will form, but too far south to produce much more than many light snow or rain on our southern sections. Baltimore and central Maryland/southern Pennsylvania misses this. But that Southern track reflects the stronger push of colder air for the first half of the week. Here are two model storm animations and the jet stream, which will flip to a warm weekend.

Storm Animations

GFS Model

Canadian Model

Jet Stream

Wednesday = Chilly

Sunday = Warmer

Temperature Outlook

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