Monday February 19 2018

After the weekend snow, we will jump back with warm air this week that brings at least two days into the 70s. A record heat wave in 1930 has the bench mark we will challenge, but that does not mean winter is over. In fact, I have mentioned that this early season warm up will mean a sharp crash in March. Now there is model support for just that. See more below.

Stats For February 19

Note: A few people have asked me about the term normal vs using average. Scientifically ‘average’ is a better term for the stats below, but The National Weather Service has used the ‘normal’ term in their climate data. I have switched it below to satisfy the fellow science geeks.

Average High: 46ºF

Record High: 72ºF in 1997

Average Low: 27ºF

*Former Record Low: +5ºF in 1903

Snow Record: 16.4″ in 1979

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 8.7″

Sunrise: 6:53 AM

Sunset 5:47 PM

*Daylight = 2:26 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 38ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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Showers Today

Not a wash out. A band this morning and again this evening.

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Let’s Focus on the Temperatures

Today

Tuesday

Record: 76ºF in 1930

Wednesday

Record: 74ºF in 1930

Rainy End To the Week

Thursday Through Sunday

Outlook\ Temperatures

March Pattern:

The North Atlantic Oscillation has been forecast to drop into a record negative territory. Here is why. A Large blocking pattern is setting up across eastern Canada and Greenland. This will enhance the cold air and storm track for us in early March.

Often an early season warm up is met with strong return to cold

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