Sunday February 11 2018
A Flood Watch is still in effect for much of our area today. Due to heavier rain on Delmarva there is a Flood Advisory, which to the north across Pennsylvania there has been less rain, but the push of warm air across higher terrain and colder ground has led to Dense Fog Advisory. The same weather pattern is stuck over our region today with another push of Low Pressure to send another 1 inch or more of rain, but this will shift a little father north. There is a strong temperature gradient that will remain over our region, which is responsible for the energy in this storm. Heavy rain is being fed by a push of temperatures that will reach the mid 60s to near 70ºF even for Baltimore. But the chilly air may remain in southern Pennsylvania for York and Lancaster counties, one reason for the dens fog and advisory this morning. The heavy rain will move a little farther north as well today.
Rain so far (until 7 AM)…
We can’t declare the drought over, but heavy rain has been measured across central and southern Maryland so far. Baltimore’s BWI officially recorded 0.88″ up to midnight, and is over the 1 inch mark now. But Doppler Radar estimates over 2 inches of rain has already falling near Annapolis to the south and east through Delmarva. Centreville has had up to 2.5 inches of rain and in the heart of the Flood Advisory on the Eastern Shore. See the rain timeline and additional rain totals below.
Stats For February 10
Trivia: Today is the anniversary of one of our largest snowstorms. On Feb 11, 1983- Baltimore recorded 22.8 inches of snow
Normal High: 44ºF
Record High: 72ºF in 1887
Normal Low: 26ºF
*Former Record Low: -6ºF in 1899
Snow Record: 22.8″ in 1983
Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″
Sunrise: 7:03 AM
Sunset 5:38 PM
*Daylight = 2:18 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 35ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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This Morning
Warmer air is surging in from the south and already seen on the 7 AM temperature map. Compare the mid 40s in central Maryland to the mid 50s to the south. Salisbury reported 64ºF at the top of the hour. They should reach 70ºF today and so may Baltimore….
Weather Set Up
Rain Timeline 8 AM to 8 PM
—> slider
[metaslider id=57895]
Additional Rainfall Total
High Temperatures
Look at the contrast right along the heavy rain path. Baltimore aims for the upper 60s to bear 70ºF, but Westminster to York and Lancaster should stay in the mid 50s.
Rain Outlook Animation Through Friday
L❄️Ve Snow ❤️
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Winter weather will return soon….
Temperature Outlook
This model ensemble shows Baltimore into the upper 60s twice… We will feel a brief drop Tuesday, but no significant cold air for the next 10 days to 2 weeks. I still feel that early March will bring us another shot of cold air.
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Also See:
My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow
La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter
NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow
Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks
Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops
First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)
My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes
Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat
NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record