Friday January 19 2018

This morning is still cold and the day will remain chilly. High temperatures will be near average today, and then aim warmer into next week. We have a relative quiet pattern for a few days. While the jet stream relaxes, the next event will bring us rain, but winter is not done by any stretch. Just a break in the action to thaw out. Up to date, temperatures at BWI this January is running -6.3ºF… Below Average! This includes 8 days with high temperatures staying at or below 32ºF. We are due for a little thaw.

Stats For January 19

Normal High:  41ºF

Record High:  69ºF in 1951

Normal Low: 24ºF

*Former Record Low: -5ºF in 1994

Snow Record: 7.7″ in 1961

Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″

Sunrise: 7:23 AM

Sunset 5:13 PM

*Daylight = 1:37 longer than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 32ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House



Snow Report for January 17 and Grade My Forecast


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Jet Stream Flips

Temperature Outlook

Much like our last warm up, I think we could easily hit the 60s ahead of the rain next Monday. 

Tuesday: Rain With Next Event


Jet Stream Animation

The warm (orange) and cold (blue) should fluctuate and will over the next 10 days. There is a hint at a storm finishing out January that will start as rain and end with snow. I do not believe in showing surface maps more than 1 week away for most events as it is likely to change. Just keep January 29 to 31 in mind for some transition.


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Also See:

My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow

Maryland Winters

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow

Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks

Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops

First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)

My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends