Friday January 19 2018
This morning is still cold and the day will remain chilly. High temperatures will be near average today, and then aim warmer into next week. We have a relative quiet pattern for a few days. While the jet stream relaxes, the next event will bring us rain, but winter is not done by any stretch. Just a break in the action to thaw out. Up to date, temperatures at BWI this January is running -6.3ºF… Below Average! This includes 8 days with high temperatures staying at or below 32ºF. We are due for a little thaw.
Stats For January 19
Normal High: 41ºF
Record High: 69ºF in 1951
Normal Low: 24ºF
*Former Record Low: -5ºF in 1994
Snow Record: 7.7″ in 1961
Seasonal Snow To Date (at BWI): 6.5″
Sunrise: 7:23 AM
Sunset 5:13 PM
*Daylight = 1:37 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 32ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
Recap:
Snow Report for January 17 and Grade My Forecast
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Today
Jet Stream Flips
Temperature Outlook
Much like our last warm up, I think we could easily hit the 60s ahead of the rain next Monday.
Tuesday: Rain With Next Event
Jet Stream Animation
The warm (orange) and cold (blue) should fluctuate and will over the next 10 days. There is a hint at a storm finishing out January that will start as rain and end with snow. I do not believe in showing surface maps more than 1 week away for most events as it is likely to change. Just keep January 29 to 31 in mind for some transition.
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Also See:
My Winter Outlook 2017-2018 for more snow
La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter
NOAA Winter Outlook: Not The Best But Not The Worst For Snow
Two Farmers Almanacs Winter 2018 Outlooks
Winter Weather Folkore: Suggestions from Animals and Crops
First Frost and Freeze Dates For Maryland (southern PA and northern VA)
My Preliminary Winter Outlook Notes
Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: To Repeat Or Not Repeat
NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record
Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals
Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends