February 28 – Baltimore is starting today tied for the 2nd warmest February on record. Considering the warm up ahead of our next storm, this will likely take the number 2 spot itself. But bear of March. It will come in like a roaring lion with a risk of severe storms right after the round we had over the weekend. Before the energy reaches us, today will bring in warmer air and rain this evening. BWI is down 1.59″ for the month, so rain is a good thing. The radar simulation will help you plan for the timeline later today. More will fall along with storms on Wednesday, and then the push of colder air will try to validate the folklore with snow showers on Friday. Stickage will be tough, but we should see the flakes flying. FITF
Warm Day
Wet By Evening
Radar Simulation —> slider HRRR Model
Wednesday Severe Storm Risk
NOAA Storm Prediction Center still has us in the Slight Risk category for severe storms Wednesday. The Moderate Risk band is creeping closer to western Maryland.
As I had mentioned on Saturday and many time over the years… the odds of severe weather east of the mountains will be determined by the wind direction. Look for a southeast wind the feed moisture and upslope east of the Bay. If that is the case, we could see a repeat of the activity (not the exact locations) from the weekend.
Mid Level Winds
The winds will be flowing 50 to 65 mph at 5,000Ft aloft. That can be brought down to the surface in strong storms and justify severe storm criteria Wednesday afternoon and evening. 
Temperature Outlook
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Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out
Store Now Open
- We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
- Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
- Click this image for the online store.
- Look for more items to be added soon.
- Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program: Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.
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FITF SNOW STICKS
Available in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.Go to http://www.signsbytomorrow.com/timonium/ to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.
Also See:
My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more
NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017
La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter
Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow
Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends
Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You
