January 14 – Once again the influence of the warmer air off of the Chesapeake Bay that I mentioned this morning is showing its colors, or lack thereof on the Advisory Map. The National Weather Service has cancelled the Winter Weather Advisory for metro areas near the Bay, along I-95 from Harford to Baltimore, and Howard County. There will be some sleet but the air is to warm for any stickage. I mentioned the ground is holding on to some of the heat from our past two days, so marginal icing on pavement was expected. I know many area activities were cancelled prematurely. As a parent, I am still waiting to see if we will have my son’s basketball game (in the northern icy zone) later today.
Side note: I consult for Johns Hopkins and they kept their activities on schedule today in Washington and Baltimore. The latest radar simulation is below.
Notes:
Split County Zones: When you ask about weather in a county, it is not uniform. Baltimore’s Hereford Zone is famous for having more snow and ice, thus splitting the county for school delays and closings. But Harford County has a similar ridge and colder zone to the north. Howard County has it to the west. This was acknowledged over two years ago when NWS split counties into new zones, which they are using today. See more here: New County Advisory Zones
Also see the first wave of advisory cancellations earlier this morning.
Icy North – Once again temperatures will be near or just below freezing in Carrol, northern Baltimore, northern Harford, and Cecil County in Maryland. Also southern Pennsylvania. There will be two waves of moisture, some with sleet early afternoon. Late afternoon and evening will be freezing rain. It’s after 5 PM when roads have the best risk of being icy (lack of solar radaition to help thaw).
Note Push And Wrong About Snow – I’ve done my best to explain the fine details, but acknowledge that my snow map was wrong. The rest of this is a signal that the southern push continues to win this winter. All events should be given that nudge at least 50 to 100 miles north for where it will verify.
Noon Temperature
Simulated Radar —> slider HRRR Model
Evening Temperatures
Click to see more about wintry precipitation
Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out
Store Now Open
- We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
- Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
- Click this image for the online store.
- Look for more items to be added soon.
- Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program: Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.
FITF SNOW STICKS
Available in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.
Go to http://www.signsbytomorrow.com/timonium/ to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.
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Also See:
My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more
NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017
La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter
Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow
Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends
Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You