Friday January 6 – The first wave of snow is done and brought just about what was expected. A general 1 to 2 inches fell but metro Baltimore ended up with less than 1 inch. It ended early, and with exception of the northern edge most roads are fine. School delays were in place for Carroll, northern Baltimore, and York Counties where uptown 2 inches fell..  This may seem like a cruel trick for snow lovers was the next storm will hit south of Baltimore, but central Maryland will be on north edge with a chance of ‘some’ snow. This will be a southern hit as a Winter Storm Warning is in effect for Ocean City, Salisbury, all the way south to Atlanta. Southern Maryland could be in for 3 to 6 inches of snow…. Some of the southern states could see up to a foot of snow.

*Note: Here is the preliminary snow report for this first wave… the fact that Baltimore got less than 1 inch is a signal that the upper level energy was a little farther north than expected… All it takes is 50-100 miles to make that kind a difference here and perhaps for the next event.

But will that impact our region? As I suggested the past two days, there has been signs of this creeping north. Timing the energy aloft is important as the strong jet stream will be diving south. An earlier arrival will allow this storm to pass closer before the dive. Later timing will get shoved south….

Here we see the water vapor satellite showing the push to the east and the forecast dip. But the indications show more of a track to the east. As I continue to show models that have shifted the edge of snow on Saturday farther north, watch the weather in Atlanta. They can see anywhere between 3 and 10 inches of snow. A big range, depending on which model you watch… but would be a signal of the storm track. Less snow for Atlanta would mean a better chance for snow in Washington and Baltimore.

Model Comparison:

All of the snow projections are below the sliders

Canadian GEM Model —> slider

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Snowfall Projection 


GFS Model —> slider

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Snowfall Projection

NAM/WRF Model: Most Aggressive

Snowfall Projection

Faith in the Beach Flakes

Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

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Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.


Temperature Outlook



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Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

Maryland Winters

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals