Wednesday December 14 – The arctic blast that has been advertised for many days is about to arrive. While there is not much moisture now, there is an upper level piece of energy (jet streak) that will be riding along the jet stream as the cold air arrive. Some light snow and rain will develop over central Maryland overnight, with a burst of snow getting briefly enhanced for an hour or two. This is just enough to be a nuisance, but long gone before the morning commute.

This kind of this is tough to track with precision. If the timing is off by an hour, it can shift the expected burst by 60 miles or so.  I have been suggesting to my clients with properties in Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil Counties that there could be a dusting up to 1 inch, but only salt needed. There may be more across northern Delaware as suggested by the HRRR Model below. Farther west or south of Baltimore the chances are slim for much, but this does bear watching for that timing and tracking issue. This will be done by 2 or 3 AM though.

The ground is cold, but its possible to have some melting and then re-freezing as temps drop into the 20s by morning. Reminder that Thursday will stay in the 20s with wind chills in the teens and single digits.

Simulated Radar: HRRR Model –> slider

[metaslider id=41303]

Very Cold Thursday Morning


Wind Chill (will stay like this most of the day)


Flurries or Snow Showers Thursday Afternoon

The upper level energy will support some flakes form the Great Lakes snow machine to survive over the mountains


I will have an update on the snow and ice for Friday night and Saturday morning in my evening post.


Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Get the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals