Screen Shot2015-10-02 15_27_52This is the turn we were waiting for, as Major Hurricane Joaquin continues to devastate The Bahamas. It is a large storm with hurricane force winds reaching 50 miles from the center, but tropical storm winds extend 205 miles away. The winds are 130 mph, but the pressure is up to 942mb. This is still formidable, but increased from yesterday’s 931mb reading. So it appears the storm is hurting itself by sitting over the same area and upwelling cooler water while churning the ocean. This delay in crawling north is later than expected and the reason why the track is now well off of the east coast.

The most impressive thing here is that it may seem like a tropical system is hitting because it may feed tropical moisture in the system in the southeast US, but the storm itself will stay well offshore. So the flooding from rain that could exceed 10 inches in South Carolina, the coastal flooding much of the Mid Atlantic coast, and the high winds that could reach 60 mph at the beaches are NOT from Joaquin.

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High Waves:

Check out the latest offshore buoy from Ocean City, consistently above 17Ft.

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This is expected to increase this weekend.

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Two Separate Storms!

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Latest Report From NHC

and Air Force Recon Flight Mission Results

Screen Shot2015-10-02 15_28_56SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT…1800 UTC..

———————————————-

LOCATION…23.8N 74.8W

ABOUT 10 MI…15 KM N OF RUM CAY BAHAMAS

ABOUT 25 MI…40 KM SW OF SAN SALVADOR BAHAMAS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…130 MPH…215 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 5 MPH…8 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…942 MB…27.82 INCHES

 

Forecast Track Well Offshore

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SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…

* Central Bahamas

* Northwestern Bahamas including the Abacos, Berry Islands,

Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and New Providence

* The Acklins, Crooked Island, and Mayaguana in the southeastern

Bahamas

 

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…

* Bimini

* Andros Island

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…

* Remainder of the southeastern Bahamas including the Turks and

Caicos Islands

* Andros Island

* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Las Tunas, Holguin, and Guantanamo

 

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected

somewhere within the warning area.

 

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible

within the watch area.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are

expected somewhere within the warning area.

 

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Joaquin. A

Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watch may be required later today.[/fusion_builder_column][/fusion_builder_row][/fusion_builder_container]