July 14 Weather Marginal Risk For Storms To Turn Severe

Wednesday July 14 2021

We are still warm and humid and a sarcastic response would state that is simply summer weather. But we have this set up with subtle triggers in the atmosphere that can help spark strong storms.

The good news is that we will calm the weather tomorrow, but the flip side is that our weekend weather looks more stormy.

Morning Surface Weather

The map looks a lot like yesterday. Like yesterday, it will be hot and humid, with scattered storms. But the subtle influence in the atmosphere is not easy to find.

If you get storms, the risk will be dangerous lightning, brief flash flooding, and damaging winds.

Severe Storm Outlook

Marginal Risk today, but not for everyone. As shown on this map, the chance is a little higher in central Maryland through southern PA.

So when you hear a 40% chance for storms, this can mean BOTH

The percent of the area that ‘should’ get it,

And

The odds you in your location get a storm. Today, it’s the portion of our region. If you are in southern or western Maryland, it will be lower than 40%.

Radar Simulation –> slider

Here we see the flare up of storms in the mountains, which will move east to metro areas during the mid to late afternoon.

Reminder: This product helps with timing, but the coverage has been under represented. We may see more storms than shown here.

Weather Almanac: Climate Data

TODAY July 14

Normal Low in Baltimore: 67ºF

Record 58ºF in 2009

Normal High in Baltimore: 88ºF

Record 101º F 1954

Afternoon Temperature Forecast

Looking Ahead

Wednesday through Sunday

We should get a break on Thursday, only to be followed by increased storm likelihood this weekend.

7 Day Forecast

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