A New Tropical Storm May Form By Friday And Being Heavy Rain To Eastern US

Wednesday June 16 2021

A region in the Bay of Campeche is being watched for possible tropical development over the next 48 hours. This region has been identified by The National Hurricane Center with an 80% chance to form a Tropical Storm by Friday, and 90% chance over the next five days.

This will move north into a more favorable environment, where the surface circulation can get better organized. If this happens, the next name on the list is Claudette.

Hurricane Reconnaissance will begin to fly into the region starting on Thursday.

Satellite Loop

This evening there has been a large cluster of storms over the Yucatan Peninsula. This is well east of the center we are tracking.

This will be one thing that is watched to get in closer to the Low over the water.

Looking Ahead

Both the ECMWF and GFS Models bring this Low onshore near the Louisiana coast on Saturday.

The track is expected to curve into the southeast US. That does not guarantee it will impact us, but it will be close enough to monitor by Monday…

There will also be a cold front that may tap into the moisture Tuesday.

Just be weary before you read any misleading headlines. I will share updates with the best simplified breakdown.

Explore More

2021 Hurricane Season Forecast And Storm Names

Sunshine State Of Mind

I am done with the cold and snow (for the season). I am embracing my wife’s mantra of Sunshine State of Mind.

This was designed by Shannon Berk and we will be wearing it through spring and to the beach.

Double Benefit: Proceeds will be split between our nonprofit Just In Power Kids and the development of my new weather website. That has been scheduled to be ready to launch in May.