December 7 2020

I know this talk of light snow or flurries may seem like a tease or a waste, but I have good reasons.  First, seeing the ‘first flakes’ of the year in December brings a lot of excitement for a lot of people. So if we can find them ahead of time, even better to make sure we can see them.

My second reason is academic.  I like to give you the inside scoop into what I research.    This morning’s system, and the prior Nor’easter ended up south and east.  There was light snow this morning, which barely clipped Salisbury and Ocean City.  I got video from Snow Hill, and saw media posts of the first measurable snow (in ages) in Richmond, VA.

If the next system has that same southeast validation, it could put bring a better chance for flakes into central Maryland. It would also help confirm model bias for the future storms this season.   We will have a few warmer bumps in the road, and I will show them below as well.



Wednesday Morning

Jet Stream

The vorticity os showing a flow of energy pushing into our region. There is a little clipper way to the north, but I wanted to focus on the vort max for this image.

December 7 weather clipper jet stream Wednesday ECMWF


Surface Weather

The clipper (red circle) will be well to our north in Canada and heading towards New England. Under normal circumstances this would barely get a notice.  But there is a zone light snow or flurries that straddles the Pennsylvania and Maryland border.

December 7 weather clipper snow Wednesday ECMWF



Closer Look at the European Model 

This model shows light snow or flurries reaching Carroll, Baltimore, Harford, and Cecil Counties. IF the model bias continues, there may be a trend a little farther south and faster.

December 7 weather snow Wednesday ECMWF


NAM 3Km Model

Here we see a cluster of snow in northeastern Maryland, at 7 AM. This is 3 hours earlier than the Euro above.

I want to point out that this model was the farthest south with this morning’s snow event. It performed the best.

December 7 weather snow Wednesday NAM


Note: This is NOT a big event. But, it’s an event of interest. It will be interesting to see if the models trend south with this like the other events.  Also, there will be a lot of happy people i=f any light flakage verifies flying through the air on Wednesday.

Warming Trend

This will be the edge of the cold air mass, and we will begin to warm up after this passes.

The next storm will track well west, and we will be on the warm, rain side. Only to be followed by yet another cool down.


Storm Animation

Fellow snow lovers, I am not upset about this track. I wrote about this in my Winter Outlook. I expected a few early season tracks west and warm. We will get more favorable storm tracks in January.

Storm forecast rain snow December 11 to 14


Jet Stream Roller Coaster

The pattern of warming with storms, followed by cooler air seems to repeat. Here is the pattern through December 22.

December 7 weather jet stream winter



Warmer Outlook?

There are a lot of Outlooks, including this one from NOAA that show a warmer than average trend for much of the US.

This map is for December 15 to 21.  But this kind of map can be deceiving. There will be a few warm days, but most of this period will be near or slightly warmer than normal.


December 7 weather temperature outlook NOAA


Temperature Outlook Forecast

There will be a few warm days, but most of this period will be near or slightly warmer than normal.


December 7 weather temperature outlook


The Arctic Oscillation

This continues to show a negative signal.  That is good if you want a source of cold in the eastern US. This does not show where that cold air will go, but it gives us a shot.

There is good documentation that supports a surge of colder air and a real winter pattern for our region either later this month or into January.

Have Faith in the Flakes.  Our winter weather will be here soon enough.


December 7 weather Arctic Oscillation





My ‘bonus’ daughter Jaiden is showing off our popular Maryland Hoodie. Click here to see this and many other new items.

FITF MD Hoodie Jaiden



Most items are unisex, but the women in my life make the new ladies’ hoodies look so good.


NEW Hoddies ShannonJaiden



Also See:

December Climate, Sun Data, Solstice, ISS Flyovers, Moon, Planets, and The Great Conjunction

Winter Solstice noon sun Baltimore


December 5 Snowfall History Start Of Faith in the Flakes



14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland
Southern Maryland




National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties




Maryland Weather Page

Maryland Weather 

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather

New Caps and Hats 

FITF Hats 2020


FITF Hat Winter Caps 2020




New Colors

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.



My Final Winter Outlook: Snow Forecast

My Winter 2021 Outlook



Winter Outlook Series

Winter Outlook 2021 Tropical Hints

Winter Outlook Polar Vortex Arctic Oscillation

Winter Outlook Solar Minimum

Early Winter October

Winter Outlook Series Weather Folklore


Winter Outlook 2021 La Nina Advisory

Winter Outlooks Farmers Almanacs



Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media



Email Updates

Please make sure you sign up (above or click here to sign up for email alerts…. ) for my newsletter. This way you will get an email to make sure you are notified of each post.



(Outside of Howard County, MD in COVID Distance Learning



Just In Power Kids:

A portion of proceeds go to our programs Providing FREE holistic care for kids in cancer treatment and up to 5 years post treatment and caregivers.