Monday November 16 2020

The wind storm and cold front that blew through last night resulted in over 70 reports of damage. It has also opened up the weather pattern to shift back to reality, with even colder air on the way.

Snow showers will fall in the mountains and flurries could reach parts of central Maryland.southern PA. Then the first freeze of the season for Baltimore at BWI could be the latest on record.

Morning Surface Weather

November 16 weather Monday morning



Morning Temperatures

It is already chilly this morning, and the breeze will be noticeable today. But even colder air on the way with a disturbance tomorrow into Wednesday.


November 16 weather temperatures Monday morning


Weather Today

The peak winds will be mid morning to early afternoon. Most of the region will see top gusts up to 25 mph.

November 16 weather winds Monday


High Temperatures 

Just cool today. It will be turning even colder.

November 16 weather temperatures Monday afternoon


Tuesday Morning

There could be frost and freeze inland, but the urban freeze will be a day later.

November 16 weather temperatures Tuesday morning


Push of Colder Air

The first coating and accumulation in the western mountains of Maryland is finally going to happen.  Snow showers may also push east of the mountains in southern PA.

While not shown on the map here, I believe flurries will fly in parts of central Maryland as well….

November 16 weather Tuesday snow



Upper Level Air

This plot shows the energy at 500mb (18,000 Ft) aloft. This set up brings the fastest winds and spin across central Virginia. That is a prime location to allow any Lake Effect Snow Showers to cross the mountains and reach the suburbs and perhaps metro areas.

No stickage expected, but flying snowflakes could surprise some people.

November 15 weather jet stream vort max Tuesday


Looking Ahead

I’ve added ‘Flurries’ with a ? because it’s not a promise and mainly for ambience.   The cold air is the big story, and this forecast is for central Maryland.

Freezing Temps likely Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

November 16 weather forecast Monday


Is this the latest Freeze for Baltimore?

I’ve looked back in the past 5 decades for the latest freeze and found these dates:

  1. November 16 in 1972
  2. November 13 in 1986
  3. November 12 in 1994
  4. November 9 in 2004
  5. November 8 in 2007
  6. November 8 in 1984


It’s been hard to look at specific dates farther back, so until I can confirm, this will be considered with that caveat: Latest first freeze in at least 50  years.

Needless to say, more than 90% of dates with the First Freeze in Baltimore at BWI are before.

The average First Freeze is October 29th. 


Typical First Frost and Freeze


Extended Temperatures

Two mornings with expected freezing temperatures at BWI will be Wednesday and Thursday.

Another warm up for next weekend, then back to reality next week into Thanksgiving.


November 16 weather temperature outlook




14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland
Southern Maryland



Maryland Weather Page

Maryland Weather 

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather


National Weather Service Adds Maryland Cecil And Garrett Counties



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