Thursday October 8 2020

Hurricane Delta was upgraded back to Category 3 status this evening when winds were recorded at 115 mph. This makes it a major hurricane again, and was expected. The tropical storm winds reach 160 miles from the center and will be entering Louisiana Friday morning.  Hurricane Force Winds are still in a small 35 mile spread from the eye wall.

Hurricane Delta satellite Thursday evening October 8

 

Landfall is expected Friday afternoon within a few miles of where Hurricane Laura made landfall.

In addition to the storm update, the purpose of this post is for the inland impact, mainly the rain for our region in the Mid Atlantic.  I have been mentioning all week that this would arrive at the end of the weekend. It now looks like that is the case, but we may squeeze out more dry hours on Sunday.

 

Hurricane Delta Stellite Loop

goes16_ir_26L_202010082327

 

National Hurricane Center Update

To see new updates at 11 PM, 2 AM and 5 AM, see the links at the bottom of this post.

 

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT 8 PM EDT
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 93.5W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast ‘Cone’

October 8 Hurricane Delta National Hurricane Center Forecast

 

 

October 8 National Hurrricane Center Delta Storm Surge Thursday noon

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to Ocean Springs Mississippi including
Calcasieu Lake, Vermilion Bay, Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas,
and Lake Borgne

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* High Island Texas to Morgan City Louisiana

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* West of High Island to Sargent Texas
* East of Morgan City Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River,
including New Orleans
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East of the mouth of the Pearl River to Bay St. Louis Mississippi

 

Rainfall Forecast

Along the initial inland path, a wide range of 5 to 7 inches of rain is expected. The storm will break apart, but the moisture flow will bring moderate rain into the Mid Atlantic with a general 1 to 2″ inches by Monday.

October 8 weather Hurricane Delta rain 5 days

 

Timeline Forecast –> slider

  • The European Model has picked up on the slightly slower forward speed of Delta. The rain arrival has been pushed back later on Sunday.
  • I would still allow for some wiggle room, but we could get most of the day in dry, before rain later afternoon or evening.
  • The heaviest rain is likely on Monday.
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Rainfall Forecast
Widespread 1 to 2 inches or more possible. The heaviest rain is likely to fall on Monday morning.
October 8 weather Delta rain forecast Maryland

Weather Widgets You Control

Wind and Pressure Levels

This is a forecast view. You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map. Pinch to zoom and move the map.

 

 

Waves

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

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Tropical Storm DElta Satellite Loops

 

Also See:

Public Advisory

Forecast Advisory

Discussion

Wind Probabilities

 

 

Coastal Inundation Page
This is a link to the NOAA information along the water.
Hurricane Laura Coastal Innundation Page

Related Posts

2020 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names and Naming History

Tropical Storm Hurricane History

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

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Winter Outlook 2021 La Nina Advisory

 

Winter Outlooks Farmers Almanacs

October Blue Moon Sky Meteor Showers

 

Fireball Dash Cam Video Pennsylvania September 30

 

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