Monday September 14 2020

Ride, Sally Ride! As of the 12:30 PM EDT advisory from the National Hurricane Center has upgraded Sally to a hurricane. Winds are now 90 mph and the satellite shows rapid intensification. It is like spinning a top and this now has good balance to spin faster and gather up more moisture. This is already stronger than the morning models suggested

The forward movement continues to slow down, which will extend the impact along the coast between Florida and New Orleans.

Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings are already in place. A larger region is now forecast to get 20 inches of rain.

Here is a collection of resources for you to track this storm through landfall and beyond. This includes: Satellite views, live radar, interactive widgets, computer model plots, and National Hurricane Center maps, statements, and warnings.

Satellite Images

Visible Loop  Since This Morning

The circulation is impressive! Watch closely:

  • The ripples expanding from the center
  • The High cirrus clouds around the edge expanding to cover a larger area.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-E_Gulf_Coast-02-16_31Z-20200914_map_-35-1n-10-100

 

 

National Hurricane Center Update

Hurricane force winds reach 25 miles from the center.

Tropical Storm force winds reach 125 miles.

Hurricane Sally IR Satellite Septemebr 14 Monday afternoon
SUMMARY OF 1130 AM CDT (12:30 EDT)...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.7N 87.0W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

 

Longwave IR- Band 13

Wow!  Look at this ‘take off’!

goes16_ir_19L_202009141427

 

Radar and Lightning: Live Auto Updating

 

 

Computer Model Forecast Plots

Computer Model Forecast Intensity

Sally is already STRONGER than the computer model package from this morning. It could continue to overachieve and reach Category 2 before landfall.

Hurricane Sally intensity computer model forecast

 

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

The center of the projections is just east of New Orleans. The circulation would maximize the flow from the east to pile water up the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain.  After landfall this could get stuck in the south and spin out across the southeast. Most of the rain is now expected to remain well south of the Mid Atlantic region.

Hurricane Sally computer model forecast tracks

 

Forecast Widget- Auto Updating

Wind, Cloud,  and Pressure Levels Projected

  • This is a forecast view.
  • You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map.

 

 

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast Maps

Wind Arrival Time

We can see the slow movement and curve inland will continue to point the same areas for a few days.

Hurricane Sally wind forecst National Hurricane Cernter September 14

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Port Fourchon Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida Border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne
* Mobile Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to the Alabama/Florida Border
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New
Orleans

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to Indian Pass Florida
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to west of Morgan City

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Ochlockonee River Florida

 

National Hurricane Center Maps (auto updating)

 

Peak Storm Surge From National Hurricane Center

The forecast track would funnel water from the east into Lake Pontchartain putting a full test of the water pump system in New Orleans.

 

 

Rainfall Forecast

A wide range of 10 to 20 inches forecast. The heaviest would be along and east of the center. If the storm slows down, more could fall.

 

Flash Flood Forecast

Also See:

Public Advisory

Forecast Advisory

Discussion

Wind Probabilities

 

Coastal Inundation Page
Tropical Storm Sally Coastal Innundation

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

Click to view in a new page

Hurricane Laura satellite floater views

Related Posts

2020 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names and Naming History

Tropical Storm Hurricane History

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

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