Sunday September 13 2020

As of the 5 PM advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Tropical Storm Sally winds still at 60 mph and the forward speed is slowing down. This is a signal of the favorable environment for further growth and longer impact on land.

The warm water and improving conditions will slow down the speed and allow this to possible become a hurricane before landfall. Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings are already in place. Also, rainfall between 10 to 15 inches near the center are forecast.

Here is a collection of resources for you to track this storm through landfall and beyond. This includes: Satellite views, live radar, interactive widgets, computer model plots, and National Hurricane Center maps, statements, and warnings.

Satellite Images

Visible Loop Up To Sunset

The circulation has stacked better with the clouds aloft compared with earlier today. This will allow for further development over the next 12 to 24 hours.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-subregional-E_Gulf_Coast-02-22_21Z-20200913_map_-29-1n-10-100

 

 

National Hurricane Center Update

Tropical Storm Sally Sunday Evening Satellite
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 85.9W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES

 

Longwave IR- Band 13

goes16_ir_19L_202009131947

 

Radar and Lightning:

South Florida 

 

 

Computer Model Forecast Plots

Computer Model Forecast Intensity

Forecast is likely to become a Category 1 hurricane before landfall.

Note the bottom is forecast time.

Tropical Storm Sally computer forecast intensity Sunday

 

Computer Model Forecast Tracks

The center of the projections is just east of New Orleans. The circulation would maximize the flow from the east to pile water up the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain.  After landfall this could get stuck in the south and spin out, or curve up to the northeast. That would be an issue for the end of next week.

Tropical Storm Sally computer forecast tracks Sunday

 

Forecast Widgets

Wind, Cloud,  and Pressure Levels Projected

  • This is a forecast view.
  • You can see the future cast using the button at the bottom of the map.

 

 

 

National Hurricane Center Forecast Maps

Wind Arrival Time

Tropical Storm Sally winds Sunday

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Port Fourchon Louisiana to the Mississippi/Alabama Border
* Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Borgne

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Morgan City Louisiana to Ocean Springs Mississippi
* Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas including metropolitan New
Orleans

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Mississippi/Alabama Border to the Alabama/Florida Border

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* East of Ocean Springs to the Alabama/Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* East of Ocean Springs to Indian Pass
* Intracoastal City Louisiana to west of Morgan City

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Indian Pass to Ochlockonee River Florida

 

National Hurricane Center Maps (auto updating)

 

Peak Storm Surge From National Hurricane Center

The forecast track would funnel water from the east into Lake Pontchartain putting a full test of the water pump system in New Orleans.

 

 

Rainfall Forecast

A wide range of 10 to 20 inches forecast. The heaviest would be along and east of the center. If the storm slows down, more could fall.

 

Also See:

Public Advisory

Forecast Advisory

Discussion

Wind Probabilities

 

Coastal Inundation Page
Tropical Storm Sally Coastal Innundation

All GOES EAST Satellite ‘Floater’ views

Click to view in a new page

Hurricane Laura satellite floater views

Related Posts

2020 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names and Naming History

Tropical Storm Hurricane History

Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20

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