Saturday Afternoon Storm Update

Saturday August 29 2020

As I write this, the remains of Laura have become almost unidentifiable. The circulation has faded into an open wave on the mesoscale analysis. There is still some energy to bet worked out in the atmosphere, which we are still seeing with thunderstorms now.  The risk of storms will remain through this evening then shift to the coast by midnight.

Tornado Warning

Doppler Radar Snapshot at 2 PM

• As of this post time, there was a Tornado Warning in Dorchester County, Maryland: Including Bucktown.
• This cell is moving to eh northeast at 30 mph, so it needs to be tracked along with the line between Eaton and Dover for more development.
• The storm line moving through central Maryland/Baltimore may also beging too produce severe conditions.

Satellite Loop

The circulation seems to have broken up.

Mesoscale Analysis

Based on prior locations and the radar activity, it appears the core of what is left is riding along the Maryland and Pennsylvania boarder. Most of the energy (as expected) is to the Southeast. That is the line of storms that is moving though central Maryland now at 2 PM

The Severe Storm Risk For A Few More Hours

There is still a risk for isolated tornadoes along with storm cells that can produce flash flooding and damaging winds.

Radar Simulation —> slider

Beginning at 2 PM, the high resolution modeling from earlier still was missing some activity.

So take this with a grain of salt. Just an idea of the progress through midnight. One more line of storms, pushing to the coast.