Thursday August 20, 2020

We are about to enter the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season over the next few weeks in an already very active season. The next few days will be both active and possibly historic. While we are looking at two tropical depressions now. One in the western Caribbean, the other in the western Atlantic Ocean. The timing of their development and track puts both of them as named storms in the Gulf of Mexico early next week.

This has only happened two times on record!

This may also introduce a rare event call Fujiwara, when two cyclones near each other can orbit around or influence the other track. That would depend on how strong and how close they may get. But they would not join forces into one bigger storm. Only in rare cases a smaller storm can get absorbed by a larger storm.


Thursday Evening Satellite Snapshot

Both Tropical Depression (T.D.) Thirteen AND Fourteen are forecast to be in the northern Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday at 2 PM.

Only TWO times in recorded history were there two cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico at the same time of at least tropical storm strength (winds 39 mph +):

  • September 5, 1933 (Treasure Coast & Cuba-Brownsville)
  • June 18, 1959 (Unnamed and Beulah)

There were NEVER two hurricanes reported in the Gulf at the same time.

August 20 weather tropical depression13 and 14 satellite


Satellite Loop


Race To Name

The next two names on the list are Laura and Marco. But T.D. Fourteen looks healthier than T.D. Thirteen this evening, even though it was identified later.  So it is a toss up with will get named first.

It’s important to note that a cyclone becomes an official Tropical Storm and gets a name when the sustained winds are 39 mph or higher.


Forecast Tracks:

National Hurricane Center and Computer Model Guidance

Note: I personally do not like to put too much stock in storm tracks before they get named. The timing and location when organized can make an impact on the future expectations. But NHC has plotted maps early. I have include associated computer model guidance for each system.


Tropical Depression  Thirteen

National Hurricane Center Forecast Plot

  • Path north of Puerto Rico, Southern Bahamas, Florida Keys, then east of Tampa as a Hurricane.
  • The last image is Tuesday at 2 PM

August 20 weather tropical depression 13 National Hurricane Center Forecast


Computer Model Guidance

August 20 weather tropical depression 13 model forecast



Tropical Depression  Fourteen

National Hurricane Center Forecast Plot

  • Path across Honduras, near Cancun Mexico, then into the western Gulf of Mexico as a Tropical Storm.
  • The last image is Tuesday at 2 PM, same as the last image for T.D. Thirteen’s forecast.

August 20 weather tropical depression 14 National Hurricane Center Forecast


Computer Model Guidance

August 20 weather tropical depression 14 model forecast


GFS Model Forecast Animation

It is important to note that two tropical cyclones at the same time will be tough to lock in with a forecast. They may or may not affect each other. But it is likely both will be affecting a wide area of the Gulf of Mexico at the same time.  So is the year 2020!

I am working on a new Tropical Weather Page so that you can see all the updates as they happen. Pleas keep checking back.



Tropical Related Posts

2020 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names and Naming History

Tropical Storm Hurricane History


Atlantic Tropical History: Maps of Origin Regions Every 10 Days

13_Tropical Storm Formation Sep11_20


This is still a work in progress, but please check out these interactive pages:

Maryland Weather 

Maryland Weather Page

I wanted to keep it simple. Just the basics for a quick view at any time.

Maryland Weather Just In Weather

14 Local Maryland Pages (and York PA)

We have made a page for Maryland Weather which gives you the current conditions for 14 present area locations. Many of these match up with the spots on our route.  Please use this list below are reference. I will include them daily with my articles on the kids.

Local Hourly Forecasts and Local Radar
Central Maryland
Southern Maryland



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Maryland Trek Cycle Jerseys From Hill Killer

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Also See:

July 2020 The hottest on record. Will it hint at snow this winter?


Record Hottest Month in Baltimore July 2020


Comet NEOWISE Viewing All July (photos/video)

Comet NEOWISE Bob Gelety


Maryland Strong Love ❤️ 

My ‘bonus’ daughter made this map of Maryland a few years ago. We brought it back for needed positivity. Now on her pick of tanks, and this cool Maryland T for men or women.

Click here or on the image to see more

This is all LOCAL: Made by Maryland Print House; Proceeds support my Maryland Trek 7 this August for Just In Power Kids.MarylandStrongLoveJaiden


Also See:

Double Solar Halo

Double solar halo June 8


Derecho Crosses PA and NJ June 3: Full Radar Loop

June 3 Derecho Storm Report Map


New Video Series: What is this cloud?

Episode 3: Morning Glory at sunrise on the beach in North Carolina

Also See:





Water Spout OR Scud Cloud on videos and photos near Middle River Maryland


Other  Links:

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.




Just In Power Kids:

Proceeds go to our programs Providing FREE holistic care for kids in cancer treatment and up to 5 years post treatment and caregivers.


Shine On

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