Tuesday May 19 2020

Tropical Storm Arthur has strengthened to 60 mph winds as it continues to move away from the US coast. However there is a traffic jam of weather systems resulting in both a contained cool easterly wind and blocking the rain event in the MidWest.

We will take a look at Arthur this morning, then the impact on Maryland Weather and across the Mid Atlantic region.  The good news is that after a cool week, warmer temperatures will develop over the Memorial Day Weekend.

Tropical Storm Arthur Satellite Loops

The circulation off of the east coast is Arthur with the highest cloud tops (red) east of the center. Look to the west (left) for the stalled upper level Low. That was supposed to get stuck over our region, but has not made it yet. Maryland and the Mid Atlantic are in the subsidence zone (rain free) in between.

 

Long-Wave Infrared (3 Hour Loop)

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-regional-eastcoast-13-11_11Z-20200519_map_-37-1n-10-100

 

Visible Satellite From Sunrise

A better look at the Arthur’s circulation, most of the high clouds and convection are on the east side.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-East-regional-eastcoast-01-12_01Z-20200519_map_-30-1n-10-100

 

 

Tropical Storm Arthur

May 19 maryland weather Tropical Storm Arthur satellite

 

Tropical Storm Arthur 5 AM Report

 
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.0N 70.6W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.27 INCHES

 

The National Hurricane Center is expected Arthur to curve to the southeast this week. It may strengthen a little this morning, then turn Post Tropical and weaken. It will not reach shore, but it will continue to impact us this week.

May 19 maryland weather Tuesday Tropical Storm Arthur

 

Morning Surface Weather

May 19 maryland weather surface map Tuesday

As Arthur curves away, High Pressure in eastern Canada will combine to increase the pressure gradient.

Today: Winds will be stronger from the east.

The stalled storm in the Midwest will be blocked, and not able to move in with rain until Friday.

Weather Collection Lab: See yesterday’s Observations, Today’s Climate Data, sun times and moon phase

Also See: Stunning T.S. Arthur Satellite Loops From closest pass by Ocean City, Maryland

May 18 tropical storm arthur Visible Satellite Monday evening

Forecast Maps

Afternoon Winds

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect on the Chesapeake Bay due to these winds. It will also keep clouds around and our temps down.

May 19 maryland weather Tuesday May 19 winds

 

Afternoon Temperatures 

May 19 maryland weather Tuesday May 19 temperatures

 

Wednesday 

May 19 maryland weather Wednesday May 20 morning temperatures

 

May 19 maryland weather Wednesday May 20 temperatures

 

Rain Forecast

As Arthur curves off of the coast, the upper level pattern will slowly let the Midwest storm reach us by Friday.

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eus_fh12-96

 

Friday Afternoon

When the rain arrives, it will not be heavy. But a period of steady rain and surrounding showers will pass through. Then we can turn the temperatures back up over the holiday weekend.

May 19 maryland weather Friday rain

 

Temperature Outlook 

May 19 maryland weather Tuesday May 19 outlook

 

New Video Series: What is this cloud?

First installment about a weather prediction instrument I want to test

 

 

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