March 29 Weather Staying Cooler But Still A Chance For A Storm

Sunday March 29 2020

Today was supposed to be the day we warmed into the 70s and perhaps some 80s. That IS NOT going to happen, and it may be a good thing.  A ‘back door’ cold front is still stuck to our south. We are in the cool airmass that has kept our region in the 40s and 50s, but also some dense fog.  This may be less important with limited people traveling, but it will help to hold the warm air away today.

Dense Fog Advisory Until 11 AM

While the advisory is only in the mountains, thick fog has low visibility across much of our region this morning.

Visibility

Temperatures 

Morning Surface Weather

In the cool and damp air, this will hold longer and keep temperatures down today. This may also allow a band of rain to pass through, with a small chance of a strong thunderstorm this afternoon.

See The: Live Interactive Radar

TORNADO VIDEOS FROM SATURDAY

See the compilation of twisters in Arkansas in my prior report here

Severe Storm Risk

There is still a lot of energy aloft to produce some thunderstorms this afternoon. We saw some boomers in the cool air yesterday and it could happen again. But keeping temps down will limit the intensity of the storms.

Two Model Forecasts

The HRRR Model brings rain mid day, then warms us a little to help a line of afternoon storms.

HRRR Model –> slider

NAM 3 Km Model —> slider

This model does not show much rain during the day, but brings in the late date line of storms. However, the keeps temps much cooler