Tuesday March 10 2020

We are in a spring pattern now. That may be obvious, but important when reviewing computer model guidance when active weather is moving through our region.

This afternoon that active weather includes showers and some possible thunderstorms. The short range high resolution modeling is what gives us our look at simulations/future radars.  The change of seasons and conditions from snow to storms can behave differently. So after looking at the current weather, compare the HRRR and NAM 3 Km Models to track how they see the showers progress this evening. This may help prove one more reliable than the other as we enter Spring.

Afternoon Surface Weather

Thunderstorm Risk (From NOAA)

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Temperature at  3 PM


Doppler Radar at 3 PM

The bands of rain are moving to the east (left to right on the map). As some heavier showers develop, the higher clouds will the carry individual cells to the northeast (up and right).


Radar Simulations

HRRR Model —> slider

This is more active of the two here. It is updated every hour and does appear to match the set up better.

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NAM 3Km Model —> slider

This model behaved better in the winter, but appears to be missing the initialization today. The rain impact fades away faster, and I suspect may be less accurate.

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To see the Live Interactive Radar Page, click here.



Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media


Baltimore history of snowless February(s) and winters when March brought the most snow:

Click here to see more: March Snow After Winter Has Been Slow



  • Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
  • The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
  • The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’

FITF Store: Weather Wife


Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020





Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September


NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures





Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.



Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones


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