Tuesday December 17 2019

Fog is developing this morning and could become pretty thick over the next few hours. This is thanks to warmer moist air is ‘trying’ to move in over the cold and wet ground. That supersaturates the air at the surface and ‘poof’ we get a ground cloud we call fog. Some spots may hav ice in pockets in the mountains and southern PA, mainly on trees and colder surfaces. Roads are being reported as wet. Most of our region is above freezing.

This afternoon a car ride will operated who stays in the 30s and who reaches the 60s. Farther north, an ice and snow storm will continue to rage in northern PA, New York, and New England. Following that storm a true load of arctic air spill our way for Wednesday.

 

Tuesday December 17, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High:  45ºF

Record High: 68ºF in 1984

Average  Low: 28ºF

Record Low:  5ºF in 1951

                      *Record Snow 11.5″ in 1932

Sunrise: 7:19 AM

Sunset 4:44 PM  

*Daylight = 0:23 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 43ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House (last year was 42ºF)

*We have almost caught back to balance out the excessive warmth*

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High Temperatures Today

There will be less than 100 miles separating the 30s from the 60s on Maryland’s Lower Eastern Shore.

The NAM 3 Km Model is coldest keeping Baltimore in the 30s. The European ECWMF and GFS Models bring the 40s to Baltimore, but 50s close to Annapolis.

NAM 3KM Forecast

 

 

 

Storm Animation

Track the winter storm to our north, then dry into the weekend. What is not shown here is the cold air that fills in our way. See the temperatures below.

 

 

Wednesday Winter Air Returns

 

 

 

Wednesday Evening: Snow Showers

This is most likely across Pennsylvania and northern Maryland. But some flakes could get close to Metro Baltimore

 

Temperature Outlook

I’ve highlighted the model spread of temps in Baltimore today. Check out the drop over the next two days!  Nearly freezing in Baltimore on Thursday means 20s inland.  A gradual moderation to the 50s is possible before Christmas.  Note that the model accuracy one week away is not the best. There will be some adjustments to the holiday forecast.

 

 

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WEATHER WIFE COLLECTION

  • Thanks to Shannon (weather wife) for hand picking items ‘she’ wants to wear
  • The Yoga Pants have side leg pocket for your phone
  • The Hoodie is extra soft and has the important ‘thumb holes’

FITF Store: Weather Wife

 

 

Winter Outlook Series:

My Call For Snowfall Winter 2019-2020

 

 

   

 

Snowy Winters Following A Hot and Dry September

 

NOAA Winter Outlook Leaves Room For More Snow With Mild ‘Seasonal Average’ Temperatures

Other  Links:

See the maps for when we normally expect the first frost in this link.

Baltimore Weather At BWI May Not Be As Hot As Reported

Construction at the airport close to the weather station may be added artificial heat. Click here or the image for the details.

 

 

Was Your County Not Included?

Click this map for more on the regional forecast zones

 

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