Sunday June 2 2019

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for central Maryland west of the Bay, through the mountains, and much of northern Virginia. The is in place until 8 PM. It means conditions are favorable as thunderstorms develop, some may turn severe. It means potential, not a promise that wind may become damaging, or hail will be large. The risk of tornados is small, but an isolated one is possible.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 8 PM in MD/VA

UPDATED: Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM in southern PA, MD Eastern Shore and Delaware. This fits with my original post and suggestion. We all are in on this today.

Severe Storm Qualifier:

Winds over 58 mph
Large hail over 1 inch diameter (size of a quarter)
Isolated Tornado

Please note that as we get closer, these are potential alerts to be issued.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch: A broad area and window with a 4 to 6 hour time frame. This means it MIGHT happen.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning: A focused area like a county usually with a 30 to 60 minute time frame. This means it IS HAPPENING NOW.

Tornado Warning: A focused area and time frame. This would list towns in a likely path within a 15 to 45 minute window.

Afternoon Radar Loop

2 Hours through 1:30 PM

Storms have become very active in western Maryland, West Virginia, and Ohio. But look into western PA, there is action there as well… Which is why I think southern PA should pay close attention for their storms between 3PM and 8 PM.

Radar Simulation —> slider

This is the NAM 3 Km Model. NOT Perfect, but the best guidance for development.

Reminder that lsat week this was slow by about 1 hour.

[metaslider id=77184]

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