Thursday February 14 2019

Happy Valentines Day. You may love that it is not snowing. You may love that temps could warm to 60 degrees tomorrow. Or, you may love that snow on the way this weekend will reach southern Maryland. But I doubt many can find the love for a potential ice storm next week. There is a lot to discuss but here is a quick break down, with maps below.

Quick Cast

Valentines Day: Some morning ice, warming to the upper 40s
Friday: Warming to 50s. Near 60ºF between Baltimore and Washington
Saturday: Snow southern Maryland, but during the day many roads will be wet
Sunday: Light evening showers
Ice Storm: Tuesday Night and Wednesday

Forecast Maps Below

Local Weather Stats For February 14, 2019 in Baltimore

Average High: 45ºF

Record High: 70ºF in 1990

Average Low: 26ºF

Record Low: -2ºF in 1979

*Record Snow: 4.0″ in 1976

Sunrise: 6:59 AM

Sunset 5:41 PM

*Daylight = 2:21 longer than yesterday

*Bay Water Temperature = 36ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House

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New Partner

Buchanan Kia of Westminster is a supporter of Just In Power Kids and Maryland Trek 6 in August 2019.

Two Days To Thaw

Today

Friday

Weekend Snow

This appears to be holding a track through the southern half of Maryland. M<ost paling during the day will likely mean stickage on the grass, but most roads wil be wet.

Euro Model —> slider

[metaslider id=73233]

GFS FV3

This shows snow mostly south of Washington on to Maryland’s lower Eastern Shore.

Sunday Evening

This wave appears to be light showers. Not a big deal at this time for us. Steady snow or mix into central and western PA.

Ice Storm: Tuesday Night into Wednesday

This is still on track as it looked for a few days. Cold air at the surface but warmer air aloft.

This could be a moderate impact Wednesday morning in metro areas. Might be a major extended ice event inland and up north again.

Euro Model —> slider

[metaslider id=45768]

GFS FV3

This model is later and colder. While it shows snow at the onset, it turns to ice for the evening.

Notes: I lean in favor of the Euro Model for both events…. Which means the weekend event will be a minor impact. However next week might be worth having a back up plan. The timing can change, but Tuesday night and Wednesday it is important to remember that ice storms often last longer than initially shown on models.

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