Monday January 28 2019
Today is the quiet day ahead of the big change. The arctic blast is on the way and each new model run seems to add a little more snow, and spread out the problems. The normally colder northern zones may have some snow and ice Tuesday morning and more accumulation as a result. Baltimore will be on the edge of this. Then we watch the push of arctic air during the afternoon to spread through metro areas and the Eastern Shore.
Here is a quick look at this morning’s info. I will have a more detailed snow forecast mid day
Quick Notes
Teachers, parents, and school administrators: I think there there are a few things to consider here for weather delays…
- Tuesday Morning: Northern Counties might have road problems. See the timeline below.
- Metro Areas (Inner Harbor, Annapolis, Washington) see the impact begin between 2 and 5 PM
- Tuesday Evening: Most area activities may need to be cancelled as this is when most snow and falling temps will occur.
- Wednesday Morning: Regardless of how much snow accumulates, many areas will have wind chills well below zero.
Local Weather Stats For January 28, 2019 in Baltimore
Average High: 42ºF
Record High: 70ºF in 1949
Average Low: 25ºF
Record Low: -3ºF in 1987
*Record Snow: 23.3″ in 1922
Sunrise: 7:17 AM
Sunset 5:22 PM
*Daylight = 1:56 longer than yesterday
*Bay Water Temperature = 37ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House
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Morning Temps
Afternoon Temps
Tuesday Weather
Morning Snow/Ice Timeline —> slider
Note: This model has some trouble depicting the wintry precipitation on the edges
[metaslider id=72013]
Afternoon Snow/Ice Timeline —> slider
[metaslider id=72030]
How Much Snow?
I will have a more detailed look at this in my next report.
Northern areas will get more when including morning snow potential. Most areas should get a minimum of 1 to 2 inches.
Important Notes:
- There will be flash freeze as snow will be falling while the temperatures drop quickly through the 20s. Anything wet on the roads will ice up quickly.
- Wednesday morning will be deep in the freeze with most areas in the wind chill ranges below zero.
FITF Hats
After selling out twice, the hats are restocked and ready to ship.
Temperature Timeline—> slider
Note how quickly temps drop into the 20s and teens. This is the flash freeze concern.
[metaslider id=71950]
Wednesday Morning: Temps Compared To ‘Normal’
Wednesday Morning Wind Chill
This will be on the dangerous side. So if you are wondering about school delays, even if the roads are fully cleared, I expect many school systems will consider these wind chills to limit kids waiting at the bust stop.
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FITF and SnowStix
Related Links:
Winter Outlook
My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow
Interactive Snow Report
November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast
Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years
Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore
Related Winter Outlooks
Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow
El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances
Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow
Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?
NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow
Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs
Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History