Friday December 14 2018

The last time we had recorded rain in Baltimore was December 2, but that dry stretch is about to end. At least we know the drill… Many times we have had rain move in on a Friday then return heavy and last most of the weekend. That is what we have on the way later today. It will be heavy at times and yes, showers will linger on Sunday that could still pass over the Ravens game.

Dense Fog Advisory and Flood Watch

As the moisture moves in, fog has developed with some school delays on the Eastern Shore of Maryland.

A Flood Watch for central Maryland and most of Virginia.

*I expect this should expand to PA and Delmarva as most of the area should get between 1 and 2 inches with some pushing the 3 inch mark by Sunday.


Morning Conditions

Temperatures and Visibility…

The foggy areas are spread out.

  • Lower Eastern Shore visibility is near Zero!
  • Other foggy areas include central and northern Maryland up into Pennsylvania between Harrisburg and Lancaster


Storm Set Up

The Low is located in Texas and will be heading our way, but wait until you see the satellite loop…


Stacked Low

This water vapor loop shows the impressive circulation with the very strong Low Pressure that is stacked from the surface to the upper atmosphere.


Tracking The Jet Stream


Local Weather Stats For December 14 in Baltimore

Average High:  46ºF

Record High: 71ºF in 2015

Average  Low: 28ºF

Record Low:  11ºF in 1960

                         *Record Snow:  4.2″ in 1951

Sunrise: 7:17 AM

Sunset 4:43 PM 

*Daylight = 0:30 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 40ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

Adding To The Record Wet Year


Rain Friday –> slider

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High Temperatures


Rain Saturday –> slider

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High Temperatures



With the upper low passing over Maryland, the core of this system will still have some rain and instability with it.



A band of heavier rain is likely to wrap around the edge of the upper Low, but underneath there will be showers and lighter rain lasting through the afternoon.


Rain Total


Storm Animation




Temperature Outlook

There will be some cool down… But the Pre Christmas outlook appears to be near average


Snow Day Kit

Our ritual the night before a storm is finally in one kit. Maybe if more Maryland kids had this, the storm would reach us 🙂

  • This includes a very soft raglan Tee printed inside out with #FITF AND the check list,  #FITF spoon for under your pillow, ice cube tray with snowflake shapes, chalk, a #FITF wrist-band, a mini SnowStix, and a bag to carry it all in.
  • Order by December 14 and it should arrive for the holiday.
  • This will also help us give a free Snow Day Kit to each of the Just In Power Kids.



FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN


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Related Links:

Winter Outlook

My Winter Outlook 2018-19: Multiple Nor’Easters and more snow

Interactive Snow Report

November 15 Snow Reports- Interactive Map Compared To My Forecast

Winter Snow And Top 5 Wet Years 

Snowfall Seasons at Beginning and End of Top 5 Wet Years In Baltimore


Related Winter Outlooks

Tropical Hints At Winter Snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?


Winter Weather Folklore

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

Maryland Winters: Snowfall Maps and Baltimore Snow History 




Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.