Monday November 12 2018 at 3PM

Here we go again, and again. There really is no question that we are stuck in a pattern. If there was a question about my Atmospheric Memory Theory, check out the Low Pressure location. This afternoon it is developing along the Gulf Coast and will track through the Panhandle of Florida tonight. Tomorrow morning it will be off of the southeast coast of Virginia and the next one on Thursday will be there too. Both following in a string of coastal systems in that same path since Hurricane Michael. Many of them qualify as a legit Nor’easter and there will be more.

That track keeps us on the cold side which will be important this winter. This Thursday, it may be cold enough to start as snow or a wintry mix.

Tuesday Morning	Thursday Afternoon

Before we get ahead of ourselves, it is early in the season and the time of day will play a role on any potential stickage. More on that below. First, check out the rain timeline and totals expected as we edge closer to the wettest year on record for Baltimore.

Doppler Radar Monday Afternoon

2 Hours up to 3 PM

Radar Simulation –> slider

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Rainfall Potential Through Tuesday Morning

Storm Animation

Notice the path of both systems following along the coast.

Thursday Snow Or Icy Mix

This is something that will be addressed in more detail after round one of rain. But keep in mind that while the first flakes are possible, the timing of the daylight hours will inhibit stickage on the roads. The pavement is still warm as well as many surrounding areas. If this races in earlier, that might change things.

The atmopshere should be cold enough to support many areas to see snow or sleet as this moves in during the morning. But also note that warmer air will follow so we should turn over to rain, even in the colder northern zones by nightfall.

Rainfall Potential This Week