November 4 2018

Today will be a sunny Sunday and a nice break between the severe storms that passed and another round on the way. Nice weather timed out great for the Bay Bridge 10K and the Ravens game against the Steelers. The benefit of sunshine today may also highlight the return to Standard Time with sunset just after 5 PM.  Then we have an abrupt change back to rain Monday morning and a risk for severe storms on Tuesday Election Day.

Local Weather Stats For November 4 in Baltimore

Average High:  61ºF

Record High: 83ºF in 1997

Average  Low: 40ºF

Record Low:  22ºF in 1951

Sunrise: 6:37 AM

Sunset 5:01 PM 

*Daylight = 2:12 shorter than yesterday 

*Bay Water Temperature = 57ºF at Thomas Pt. Light House 

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Morning Snapshot

High Pressure will provide us with a Sunny Sunday. But the complex storm to our west will bring strong and severe storms across the central US and into the Ohio Valley. A second piece of energy on the south side will ride a path similar to Hurricane Michael and our last Nor’easter to reaffirm the atmospheric memory. This is something to watch for how it behaves here and potential future winter storm tracks.

 

Morning Temperatures

 

High Temperatures Today

 

Low Temperatures Monday

Radar Simulation Monday —> slider 

Heavy rain and storms are possible during the morning across southern and central Maryland to the Eastern Shore.

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High Temperatures Monday

Notice the push of warm air on the Lower Eastern Shore AND in the mountains. We will get into that as the severe weather approaches Tuesday

 

Radar Simulation Tuesday —> slider

Heavy rain and storms may arrive in the morning just west of Baltimore. The risk for severe storms in central Maryland wil be just after this time frame… Into the early to mid afternoon.

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Severe Storm Potential

 

Storm Animation

We continue with an active pattern. Rain Today, Storms Tuesday, more rain Friday.  Next weekend looks dry, then we watch for a big pattern chance and possibly snow flurries next week.

 

Temperature Outlook

 

Also See:

Two Tornadoes Confirmed in central Maryland from Fri Nov 2 Storms

 

Winter Outlooks

Winter Weather Folklore

Sweet Spot: Hitting 70ºF on Halloween is followed by more winter snow

Solar Cycle: When Sun Spots Are Low We Get More Snow

Will A Wet Summer Bring A Snowy Winter?

El Nino Modoki May Enhance Snow Chances

Winter Outlook From Two Different Farmers Almanacs

NOAA Winter 2018-2019 Outlook Explained: This Actually Supports Snow

 

Cold Stuff

Normal First Frost/Freeze Dates

Maryland Winters: Snowfall by region and records

 

 

FITF and SnowStix Stores are now OPEN

Snowstix- We Need You To Measure Snow Too

We are giving 10% of each sale to Just In Power Kids: Providing FREE holistic care for pediatric oncology patients.

 

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