Saturday December 10 – The core of the cold air settles in today as temperature will remain in the 30s. The winds will not be as strong, and more clouds dominate the morning sky.  But we will remain dry today for the Army Navy game.  The news headlines of heavy Lake Effect Snow are a reflection of this arctic air, but not what we expect to reach us. Another storm will influence our weather, and the track will bring in warmer air before an even colder shot of arctic air next week.

The main story I’ve ben tracking for a few days has been the storm track. It will be to our north, allowing the warmer air on Monday. But the question of what arrives ahead of it will determine if you get to see light snow fall on Sunday. At this point, there is a chance of flurries or a light wintry mix in central Maryland. North and west of Baltimore into southern Pennsylvania will be more likely to have light snow on Sunday. Temperatures will be slow to warm up… and the NAM/WRF Model here shows its own confusion with precipitation type and the freezing line.  After starting tomorrow in the 20s, the slow warming will be important to monitor.

Sunday Slider —>

[metaslider id=41073]

What to expect???

Look for flurries or some sleet in central Maryland, but not a big deal. Closer to the Pennsylvania line will have a better chance to get steady light snow. The ground will be cold enough for some stickage. The European and Canadian models hint at a dusting possible Sunday evening and night. The GFS Model continues to be less dramatic, keeping most of the action north in PA, then just rain Monday morning.  Arctic air can be slower to budge than models show, especially this time of year. So the colder suburbs should look out for possible icing overnight into early Monday morning. *I told my road maintenance clients there is a 50% chance they may have to drop salt.

Compare the two possible ways this could play out.

Canadian Model  —> slider  =Colder and a little more snow

[metaslider id=41093]


GFS Model  —> slider  =Warmer and less to be concerned with

[metaslider id=41084]


Colder Next Week: More Snow Chances

Tis the season, and after we see how this plays out, we can start to trust one outcome over another for the next system. But we can have more to watch in the middle of next week as arctic air pushes farther south again.



All About The Jet Stream

You will begin to hear about the Polar Vortex again… I will have more on this in my next report.



Temperature Outlook



Faith in the Flakes Online- Flannel PJs Printed Inside Out

Store Now Open

  • We’ve added Flannel PJ Pants that will be printed inside out. They have to be, to make it snow ?
  • Free Personal Delivery for orders of 20 items or more to schools and businesses.
  • Click this image for the online store.
  • Look for more items to be added soon.
  • Also see the info for the STEM Assembly Spirit Wear program:  Put your school name on the shirts and raise money for you PTO/PTA in the process.


thatcher_snowsticksAvailable in 2 Ft, 30 Inches, and 3 Ft Sizes. Also with Orange/Black or Purple/Black. Click on the image to see the options offered by my friend Thatcher at Signs By Tomorrow in Timonium.

Go to to order yours today! Click the ‘Request a Quote’ button at the top of the page. In comment box include color, size and payment information. Please indicate whether you’d like to have us UPS ship them to you or if you would like to pick up in our store. Snow Sticks will ship or will be ready for pick up in our store 48 hrs after order is placed, Mon-Fri.

Please share your thoughts, best weather pics/video, or just keep in touch via social media

Chip KidWxDevicesGet the award winning Kid Weather App I made with my oldest son and support our love for science, weather, and technology. Our 3 year anniversary of the release and our contribution to STEM education is this November. It has been downloaded in 60 countries, and works in both temperature scales. With your support we can expand on the fun introduction to science and real weather.

Also See:

My Winter Outlook for 2016-2017: Colder with snow spread out more

NOAA Winter Outlook for 2016 to 2017

La Nina Formed: What it could mean to our winter

Farmers Almanacs Split On Cold And Snow

Extreme Weather of 2015 balanced out on both ends

Low Snow Winters In Baltimore: Records Might Surprise You

NOAA Ranks Blizzard 2016 4th Worst Snowstorm On Record

Blizzard 2016 Record Top Snowstorm: Area Totals