Tropical Storm Colin Forms In Gulf Of Mexico Heading To Florida

Tropical Storm Colin Forms In Gulf Of Mexico Heading To Florida

June 5th 2016 – It is the 5th day of June and we have our third named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. This is the earliest on record we have the ‘C’ named storm by 11 days, but that does not necessarily promise an active year just like snow in November does not promise a busy winter. But it is busy so far and perhaps this will shift the focus of energy away from Texas as Florida is now the target. In fact this storm will be picked up by fast upper level winds and end up in the Atlantic in two days along a similar track that Bonnie had. That storm got stuck for a week, this one will race forward by the South and North Carolina Coast out to the Atlantic.

Tropical Storm Warning posted for the Gulf Coast of Florida from Indian Pass to Englewood. This includes Tampa.

Stats as of 5 PM EDT

  • Position: 23.3N, -87.9W
  • Moving: N at 12 mph
  • Winds: 40 mph
  • Pressure: 1005 mb

Warm Water

The sea surface temperatures show that the path of Colin will pass over warmer water just before landfall which will allow it to increase strength. But it will run out of time and must content with faster upper level winds. That is not good for development but will speed up the forward movement. Temperatures are in degrees C. 29°C to 30°C is very warm!

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Computer Model Forecast Intensity

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Forecast Rainfall Next 2 Days

Most of the energy with this storm is on the right or set side. That is important because it should focus the heaviest rains on the right side of its path on the Peninsula part of Florida, with Tampa expecting to see some of the highest totals. Flooding is likely along the east side and at landfall.

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National Hurricane Track Map

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Rainfall Outlook Next 5 Days

This does also includes weather events not related to Colin

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Also see these links:

Hurricane Alex and History of January Hurricanes

Tropical Storm Bonnie landfall on South Carolina coast

Seasonal outlook, list of 2016 names, and history in this link.


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