February 12- There will be a lot of weather action on the way over the next 3 to 5 days. As I write this, wind warning an wind chill advisories are being posted. Even the rare Ice Accretion Advisory around the Chesapeake Bay for freezing spray very far south. But I want to focus on our evening event. A burst of snow will pass through central Maryland and southern Pennsylvania that is worth the attention. At times this may be moderate to heavy, and with temperatures in the mid 20s, everything will stick. Here is a quick radar simulation timeline to show the progress as it develops east of the mountains and even impacts Delmarva to the beaches overnight. Please see my weekend highlights and quick preview of the storm track for early next week below. FITF
Notes:
- Snow will fall for 3 to 5 hours.
- It reaches metro Baltimore by 8 PM; Eastern Shore tonight.
- Total: 1 to 2 inches north and west of Baltimore. Most get a dusting to 1 inch.
- Parts of Delmarva will get over 1″
Snow Potential:
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Weekend Highlights:
- Saturday’s high temperate will be at midnight, falling into the teens during the afternoon.
- Winds will be gusting over 30 mph. Some places to 50 mph. Wind Warnings are being issue west and north, but might be expanded. I will elaborate in my next post.
- Saturday: Snow showers. Sunday will be dry and sunny
- Sunday will be colder, but winds will ease a little.
Records?
- Saturday Feb 13: Record Low = 1°F in 1983; Coldest Daily High 10°F in 1899 (but our high will be at midnight then falling all day)
- Sunday Feb 14: Record Low = -2°F in 1979; Coldest Daily High 18°F in 1916 (best chance to get this one)
Storm Next Week:
This is the quick view. I will have more info this evening plus the two full sliders of these models.
- Monday: Light snow begins in the morning.
- Monday evening: Moderate snow and possible change over to the south and east.
Tuesday:
- GFS Model has come back to the east, with a slightly colder track.
- GFS is slower than the Canadian.
- Canadian is still the coldest solution keeping snow and ice west of the Bay. Rain for Delmarva Tuesday.
- May end with period of snow.
- Another band of light snow possible Wednesday.
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