Showers, Southern Storm, And Warm Start To November

We have showers this morning and I didn’t call it. Too much reliance on one model while dismissing another. It is mild and the rain has been light, but I had to point that out.  Now that the clocks are back to Standard Time, fellow weather geeks can rejoice that computer models and updates will be available an hour earlier. But we will have to wait a week until we really get to put that to use. A storm in the south has brought showers today, but most will stay to our south and the rest of the week looks quiet and warm.  If you are a fan of cold and snowy weather, consider the old adage for March: In like a lion, out like a lamb. November can behave the opposite way. A warm, Indian Summer pattern to start can lead to a cold Thanksgiving or end to the month..

I want to be accountable for dismissing the NAM model with rain today.  I didn’t give it enough credit. But it is just a morning thing and will not impact the Ravens game. If you have football plans or otherwise, here is the radar simulation for today. Note that this same model however called for much more rain Monday and it looks like it will be wrong.